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MARKET MICROSTRUCTURE, INFORMATION AGGREGATION AND EQUILIBRIUM UNIQUENESS IN A GLOBAL GAME

机译:全球游戏中的市场微观结构,信息整合和平衡唯一性

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摘要

This paper studies the outcome of a two-stage global game wherein a market-based asset price determined at the trading stage of the game provides an endogenous public signal about the fundamental that a¤ects traders' decisions in the coordination stage of the game. The microstructure of the trading stage is one in which informed traders may place market orders –rather than full demand schedules– and where a competitive market-making sector sets the price. Because market-order traders face price execution risk, they trade less aggressively on their private information than demand-schedule traders, which slows down information aggregation and limits the informativeness of the asset price. When all traders place market orders, the precision of the price signal is bounded above and the outcome of the coordination stage is unique as the noise in the private signals vanishes. More generally, in an asset market with both market-order and demand-schedule traders, the presence of the former may drastically limit the range of parameters leading to multiple equilibria. This is especially true when traders optimise over their type of order, in which case market-order traders tend to overwhelm the market when the precision of the private signal is large.
机译:本文研究了一个两阶段的全球博弈的结果,其中在博弈的交易阶段确定的基于市场的资产价格提供了内在的公共信号,表明在博弈的协调阶段影响交易者决策的基本原理。交易阶段的微观结构是知情交易者可以下达市场订单(而不是完整的需求计划)的阶段,而竞争性做市部门确定价格。由于市场订单交易者面临价格执行风险,因此与需求时间表交易者相比,他们在私人信息上的交易不那么积极,这减慢了信息汇总的速度并限制了资产价格的信息性。当所有交易者下达市价单时,价格信号的精度将受到限制,并且协调阶段的结果将是独特的,因为私人信号中的噪音消失了。更一般而言,在同时具有市场订单和需求时间表交易者的资产市场中,前者的存在可能会极大地限制导致多重均衡的参数范围。当交易者优化其订单类型时尤其如此,在这种情况下,当私人信号的精度很高时,市场订单交易者往往会压倒市场。

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